Example 625/782 is ~79.92%.Īnother example for a 4-tiers souvenir (Nuke for example):Īs a bonus Cobblestone souvenirs chances:Ĭovert ~0.026% (~0.0026% for a Dragon Lore Factory New)Īt a real life casino the house had a small odds advantage but its like 54-46.
Ultra rare to Covert is 2:5, the rest is 1:5 to each other. But it was believed that knives are also 1:5 since it was very hard to check it even with a large sample. Real time in-game rewards are announced in the following links: Ĭurrently, all CS:GO randomized loot crates fulfill the above, we will contact you if there is any further changes, thank you for your support.īased on the ratio given above, we deduce the following theoretical percentages.įrom the research many people did before it was 'known' that the ratio is 1:5 for each higher tier. Same quality but variant item has same chances of outcome.Īny items that has Stat-trak variant, its relative chance for Stat-trak is 1/10 (not 1:10)
If you manage to get an ultra rare tier item (yellow), its relative ratio to Covert item (red), is 2:5.Ĭovert item (red) to each adjacent lowered tier (pink), and so on, its relative ratio is 1:5. This is the announcement notice for CS:GO today.Īnd this is the announcement notice for Dota 2 earlier.ĭue to ministry of culture's online gaming operating regulations and supervising requests, to publicly display CS:GO randomized lootcrates as follows: PGL Major Antwerp 2022: RMR / Information, Schedule, & Discussionĭue to the loot crate law from China’s Ministry of Culture earlier in 2016, game publishers were asked to display loot crates content and its relative odds.
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